Uppsala, Sweden, May 23-25, 2002
Organised by Uppsala University and ASPO,the Association for the Study of Peak Oil
|Statement by Matthew Simmons, energy adviser for President Bush:
We need a wake up call. We need it desperately. We need basically a new form of energy. I dont know that there is one. (TV4, Sweden)
|Program (open word.com )|
|Workshop map (open word.com )|
|Press release (in English )|
|Information about Uppsala ( take a look )|
|Uppsala university (take a look )|
|Registration form: (word.doc )|
|The assessment and importance of oil depletion||Colin J. Campbell, Ireland (ODAC)||Abstract|
|U.S. Energy Policy Issues||Matt Simmons, Houston, USA||Abstract|
|Russian oil and gas: A realistic assessment||Ray C. Leonard, Yukos Oil, Moscow, Russia||Abstract|
|Middle East view of the oil situation||Ali Bakhtiari, Iran||Abstract|
|Norway Norwegian Experience||Eric Mathiesen, Norwegian Petroleum Directorate||Ppt|
|Modelling future liquids production from extrapolation of the past and from ultimates||Jean Laherrere, France||Abstract|
|Past oil forecasts, and the “Limits to Growth” message||Roger W. Bentley, UK (ODAC)||Abstract|
|An Overview of US Hydrocarbon Supply
and the Possible Impact of New Alaskan Reserves
|Jeremy Gilbert, Irland||Abstract|
|The Depletion of the North Sea and its Significance for Europe||Peter Gerling, Bundesanstalt fuer Geowissenschaften und Rohstoffe, Germany||Abstract|
|Renewable Energy in Europe – Past and Fututure||Werner Zittel, Ottobrunn, Germany||Abstract|
|Consideration on Renewable Electric Energy Systems||Mats Leijon, Uppsala, Sweden||Abstract|
|Raising awareness of the issue||Sara Astor, London, UK|
|Building Limited Fossil Energy Supplies into the World Monetary System||Richard Douthwaite||Abstract|
|Climate Change and Oil Depletion||Rui Rosa (Evora University), Portugal||Abstract|
|Climate Change and Oil Depletion:
Opportunities for a Common Cure?
|Jurgen Lefevre, Foundation for International Environmental Law and Development (FIELD), UK||Abstract|
|The Western geopolitics of energy supply:
a short-sighted approach to the global energy shift
|Susanne Peters, Giessen University, Germany.||Abstract|
|Summary||Kjell Aleklett, Uppsala, Sweden||Abstract|
|Submitted contributions to the workshop|
|Impact of oil depletion in Sweden||Gunnar Agfors, The Royal Swedish Academy of Engineering|
|Coming Oil crisis – will there be some surviving?||Pavel Stroev, Folkecenter for Renewable Energy, Denmark||Abstract|
|Ruralisation, a possible planning method to avoid impacts from reduced energy input||Folke Günther, Lund University, Sweden||Abstract|
|Economics and Peak Oil: lessons from offshore.||Maarten van Mourik, Karmsund, Norway|
|The workshop is open for additional contributions.|
Prof. K. Aleklett, Uppsala, Sweden, chairman
Dr. R.W.Bentley, London, U. K.
Dr. C. J. Campbell, Cork, Ireland
Dr. Klaus Illum, Denmark
Prof. S. Kullander, Uppsala, Sweden
Prof. M. Leijon, Uppsala, SwedenASPO Representatives (adviser committee).
Dr H. Fechner, Austria, Österreichisches Forschungs- und Prüfzentrum Arsenal Ges.m.b.H.
Dr Prof. F-W Wellmer, Germany, Bundesanstalt fur Geowischenshaften und Rorstof
Prof W. Blendinger, Germany Clausthal University
Dr W. Zittel, Germany, L-B Systemstechnik
Dr C. Sage, Ireland, University College, Cork
Mr O. Kristiansen, Norway, Norwegian Petroleum Directorate
Mr J. Karlsen, Norway, Rogaland Research, Prof. R Rosa, Portugal Geophysical Centre, Evora University
Prof. M.Coleman United Kingdom, University of ReadingThe workshop is sponsored by:
The Swedish Energy Agency
The Royal Swedish Academy of Engineering
|The Workshop has been organised to address the impact of resource constraints and natural depletion on the global supply of oil, one of Europe ‘s most critical energy sources.The Workshop will examine geological mechanisms of oil generation, the processes of extraction, and the nature of depletion as imposed by reservoir physics.
The workshop will address also the unreliable nature of public data on oil reserves, the record of past oil forecasts, and the misunderstanding of the ‘Limits to Growth’ message of the 1970s. It will question the ability of conventional economics to handle a rapidly depleting resource, and draw attention to the impact of oil’s decline on Europe’s economic situation. It will ask why governments are not better informed, and why they fail to make appropriate preparations to ease the impact of the transition from growing to declining oil supply, which is likely to be a major historical discontinuity.
The Workshop will conclude with recommendations for remedying past failures in understanding the issue, and with proposals for improving the database, and for working towards a new system for managing oil depletion, a subject too serious to be left to market forces, or the sole interests of producer countries.
In short, the Workshop aims to address one of the critical near-term issues affecting Mankind.