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ABSTRACTS
2nd International Workshop on Oil Depletion
Paris, France, May 26-27 2003
Organised by the Association for the Study of Peak Oil
and Gas
The workshop was held at the
Institut Francais du Pétrole
, Rueil Malmaison, Paris.
If information and other material from
this proceeding is used the following reference shoul be given:
Proceedings of the 2nd International Workshop on Oil Depletion, Paris,
France, May 26-27 2003,
Edited by K. Aleklett, C. Campbell and J. Meyer, www.peakoil.net/iwood2003
.
How to Make the World Aware that the
Party is Over
Kjell Aleklett
The depletion of oil, which furnishes 40% of traded energy and 90% of transport
fuel, should by all means be a sensitive subject for all governments as well
as for you as an individual. It heralds for Mankind a discontinuity
of historic proportions. It is easy for the economists who advise most
governments to map short-term economic cycles but it is very difficult for
them to deal with major discontinuities, especially those that undermine the
very foundations of their subject. This must be changed.
Speakers at this workshop are presenting the evidence for a Natural Science
Approach to the depletion of oil, addressing the geological constraints, the
technical basis of reserve estimation, the distribution of field sizes, and
the obvious correlation between discovery and production after a time lag.
Those of us who realize that all this evidence points in one direction must
act as soon as possible to alert governments and others of what the true
situation is.
Last year the first International Workshop on Oil Depletion was organized
in Uppsala, Sweden. During the past year we have tried to make Sweden
aware of the problems, as well as drawing attention to ASPO and the work it
stands for. The subject has attracted much media interest, with more
then 30 interviews with TV, radio, magazines and newspapers. This sets
an example of what can be achieved on a wider scale. The lessons that
have been learnt are discussed and reviewed in the presentation.
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