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ABSTRACTS
2nd International Workshop on Oil Depletion
Paris, France, May 26-27 2003
Organised by the Association for the Study of Peak Oil
and Gas
The workshop was held at the
Institut Francais du Pétrole
, Rueil Malmaison, Paris.
If information and other material from
this proceeding is used the following reference shoul be given:
Proceedings of the 2nd International Workshop on Oil Depletion, Paris,
France, May 26-27 2003,
Edited by K. Aleklett, C. Campbell and J. Meyer, www.peakoil.net/iwood2003
.
Options for Future Transport Fuels
Jörg Wind
Modern civilisation is based on an economy which widely depends on communication
technologies, sufficient energy supply and unrestricted individual mobility.
Up to now, the energy supply for industrial and household use as well as for
transport largely relies on resources of fossil fuels, such as coal, natural
gas and crude oil. These resources are limited and there is some discussion
about the timeframe when these fossil resources will be reduced significantly.
To assure fuel supply for sustainable mobility of all citizens and reduce
CO2 and pollutant emissions, use of alternative fuels has to be increased.
In the last years a variety of fuel options for transport of the future
have been discussed and produced. Today, cars are fuelled with diesel,
gasoline (up to three different qualities), natural gas (NG), gas to liquid
fuels (GTL), fatty acid methyl ester (FAME), ethanol and some drivers even
use plant oils. Additionally, there are a small number of cars powered
by electricity. Methanol and hydrogen are also tested as fuels for cars
with an internal combustion engine (ICE). In the last ten years the
development of fuel cells for transport application made a big step towards
commercialisation of fuel cell cars with very high efficiencies, which are
fuelled with hydrogen, methanol or even gasoline or diesel.
The European Commission has announced numbers for alternative fuels, in
a communication paper on alternative fuels for road transport, as a proposal
for a Council directive. For 2020, 8% biofuels, 10% natural gas and
5% hydrogen are suggested. The best alternative fuel would be one which
is environmentally benign to produce, not emitting any greenhouse gases during
growth of the biomass and subsequent fuel production, and at low cost.
Additionally, this fuel should have favourable properties in ICEs and fuel
cells, even improve performance and regulated emissions.
Hydrogen has a very high potential to fulfil all requested requirements.
Especially in combination with fuel cells, which provide for a very high efficiency,
this fuel option would be preferable. Hydrogen production by steam
reforming or electrolysis is a well known industrial process, but storage
in cars still does not yet allow for sufficient travel distances. Building
of a hydrogen infrastructure is very costly and will not take place until
a significant number of cars will need to be fuelled by hydrogen. The
open issues for implementation by the end of the next decade are: vehicle
production costs and onboard H2 storage, efficient H2 production and installation
of a fueling infrastructure, as well as the need for attractive subsidies
or tax incentives. These can be resolved by a joint effort of governments
and the auto and oil/energy industries. If successful, it is likely
that by 2020 2-3% of the overall European vehicle fleet will be fueled by
hydrogen, and that in the subsequent decade the use of H2 fuel will sharply
increase.
In the next 20 years the ICE will dominate the market for new cars, and
it will remain an important technology beyond that period. A significant
reduction of greenhouse gas emissions could be achieved by the introduction
of fuels based on biomass in the next two decades. From all options
for biofuels, synthetic fuels from biomass (BTL) seem to have the best potential
to fulfil all requirements. Such fuels have similar properties as the
gas-to-liquid fuels which are currently produced by a number of oil companies.
The first process step is the production of synthesis gas (CO and H2). The
second step is synthesis of hydrocarbons, like methanol or diesel fuels, by
Fischer-Tropsch synthesis. Currently, a number of research groups and small
companies are working mainly on the gasification step. In 2001 DaimlerChrysler
started a joint project with the Choren company to investigate in a pilot
plant the feasibility of producing synthetic renewable Methanol and BTL Diesel
from wood and using it in road vehicles. Since June 2002, DaimlerChrysler
and Volkswagen have been pursuing this pathway jointly.
In conclusion, it seems likely that synthetic biofuels will play an important
role in fuel supply for transport applications in the future. Hydrogen,
which is the most favourable fuel with respect to reduction of CO2 emissions
and diversity of primary energy sources, remains the most promising candidate
for future fuels, especially in combination with fuel-cell powered vehicles.
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