Old news archive

On these pages you will find headline news published prior to January 1, 2008.

News from 2007

ASPO China
Press release: ASPO China is formed
On the 26th of October 2007, a Peak Oil workshop was held at the China University of Petroleum Beijing (CUPB). It was unanimously agreed that ASPO China should be formed and that Peak Oil research and modelling is essential to China. (Read press release)(Photo)

The "ASPO Effect"
At a peak of the oil prize the ASPO USA yearly conference starts in Huston. The coincidence has made media using a new expression to explain the high oil prize, the “ASPO Effect”.  The question is if just information about reality will affect the oil prize? Probably is the effect of declining production close to USA, as the decline in Cantarell, the real cause. Iit is now harder to fill the strategic reserves close to Houston (read about the “ASPO Effect”).(Voice of America about the conference)

ASPO6 now on DVD
A professional quality recording of the full conference has been made (16 hours) along with a number of personal interviews by Chris Vernon of The Oil Drum: Europe with speakers at the conference. Interviewees include Lord Ron Oxburgh, Jeremy Leggett, Minister Eamon Ryan, Jeff Rubin, Jeremy Gilbert. (ASP6 DVD)

Keynote speaker at ASPO6, Dr James R. Schlesinger, former US Energy Secretary
”And therefore to the peakists I say, You can declare victory. You are no longer the beleagured small minority of voices crying in the wilderness. You are now main streams. You must learn to take yes for an answer and be gracious in victory.”
Listen on this and other statements from ASPO6 on YouTub (listen)

Read also Jeremy Leggett at The Guardian (read)

Weekly letter
My first week as the newly elected ASPOhttp://www.aspo-ireland.org/index.cfm/page/shop President has come to an end and it is now that I wish to start writing a weekly newsletter through which I hope to communicate those activities that are of importance to ASPO. (read weekly letter)
Kjell Aleklett
Kjell Aleklett
New board for ASPO
From the minutes of ASPO Annual General Meeting, Monday 18th September 2007, Cork, Ireland: "The present members of ASPO agreed that Kjell Aleklett should continue as ASPO President for the coming year. Aleklett proposed that Mikael Höök should be ASPO Secretary, and this was also agreed. As in the past, co-opted to the ASPO Board are the organisers of the past two ASPO Workshops, and the forthcoming one. Thus the ASPO Board is now: K. Aleklett, President,  C. Campbell, Honorary Chairman, M. Höök Secretary, U. Bardi, ASPO-5,  R. O’Rourke, ASPO-6,  P. Prieto, ASPO-7 "
2007 Houston World Oil Conference
ASPO Week in Houston (Oct. 17-20) will consist of four days of high-level energy discussions, including a pre-conference day and post-conference day, daytime and evening presentations, and mix & meet receptions with speakers and sponsors. In addition, we've planned field trips to an oil well drilling rig and Refinery Row, our nation's largest, on the Houston Ship Channel. (for more information)
International Association for the Study of Peak Oil&Gas

Full size photo
Members representing ASPO and national ASPO organizations from Australia, Canada, China, France, Germany, Great Britain, Ireland, Italy, Portugal, Japan, Spain, Switzerland, Sweden and USA, decided on September 19 to form a new International Association for the Study of Peak Oil&Gas, ASPO-international. The new organization will start to work from 2008-01-01. Professor Kjell Aleklett from Sweden was elected as the first president for ASPO-international and Mikael Höök, also from Sweden, was appointed as Secretary General. National ASPO organizations can be found in more then 25 countries and in October and November ASPO-China and ASPO-South Africa will organize conferences to mark the start of national ASPOs. For information: Kjell Aleklett, aleklett@tsl.uu.se, +46 70 425 0604 Questions about new national ASPO organisations: Mikael Höök, mikael.hook@tsl.uu.se.

Make reservation for September 16-17 2007
Cork, Irland
(read further)
Giant Oil Fields - Highway to Oil
Fredrik Robelius, member of the Uppsala Hydrocarbon Depletion Study Group, UHDSG, Uppsala University in Sweden, defended on March 30 his thesis “Giant Oil Fields – Highway to Oil”. The first ever thesis about Peak Oil. (read further)
ASPO Canada
ASPO-CANADA is the Association for the Study of Peak Oil and Gas in Canada and globally. As such, it exists alongside ASPO organizations in ten other OECD countries, all of which depend heavily on abundant supplies of both oil and gas. In recent years, some have come to use more dramatic language in describing their over-dependency. (Visit ASPO Canada)

News from 2006

Make reservation for September 16-17 2007
Cork, Irland
(read further)

Giant Oil Fields - Highway to Oil
Fredrik Robelius, member of the Uppsala Hydrocarbon Depletion Study Group, UHDSG, Uppsala University in Sweden, defended on March 30 his thesis “Giant Oil Fields – Highway to Oil”. The first ever thesis about Peak Oil. (read further)

ASPO Canada
ASPO-CANADA is the Association for the Study of Peak Oil and Gas in Canada and globally. As such, it exists alongside ASPO organizations in ten other OECD countries, all of which depend heavily on abundant supplies of both oil and gas. In recent years, some have come to use more dramatic language in describing their over-dependency. (Visit ASPO Canada)

China Shijiazhuang Energy & Enviroment Conference, 2006 Nov 1
Thf a sister city exchange program. One of the speakers at the conference was professor Kjell Aleklett, president of ASPO. The presentation, as well as the text of the presentation in English and Chinese, is given in a pdf file (DownloadIt would be interesting if someone like to translate the presentation to other languages.

World oil production may have peaked-executive
BOSTON, Oct 26 (Reuters) - World production of crude oil may have already peaked, setting the stage for declining output that could lag demand, a top advocate of the "peak oil" theory said on Thursday. 'Guess what? We actually reached a sustainable peak in crude oil production in December 2005,'" Matt Simmons said at a meeting of the United States of the the Association for the Study of Peak Oil and Gas. (read further)<>

ASPO Newsletter
The ASPO newsletters can be found at: https://aspo-ireland.org/Newsletter.htm
Ali Sasam Baktiari Dr Ali Morteza Samsam Bakhtiari and Peak Oil
Dr Ali Morteza Samsam Bakhtiari was for more then 30 years employed by the National Iranian Oil Co. (NIOC) of Tehran, Iran. During the course of his employment with NIOC, he held many important positions of trust and responsibility.Dr Bakhtiari is now fully retired from NIOC, in accordance with a mandatory age requirement. He has no current official link with the company. But, luckily for us in the Western world, he is among the pioneers of the global "Peak Oil" theory. (Read further)

Gazprom to develop Shtokman alone, pipe gas to Europe
In a surprise move, Russia's OAO Gazprom announced on Oct. 9 that it will develop giant Shtokman (Shtokmanovskoye) natural gas-condensate field in the Barents Sea without foreign partners and will pipe the gas to Europe rather than convert it to LNG for North American markets as had been planned. ( Read further )

Peak Oil hearing in the House
The protocol of the Peak Oil hearing at the House of Representatives energy subcommittee can now be downloaded from our site. President of ASPO Kjell Aleklett as well as Congressmen Bartlett and Udell, Senior Energy Program Advisor Hirsch and Senior Consultant and Director Esser gave testimonies. (Download )

What is the Peak Oil theory of value?
(2006Sep28) In the foregoing respects, the concept of Peak Oil may well be among the most valuable theories that has ever been developed in the human mind. Peak Oil is about mankind’s relationship with its energy supply. An understanding of Peak Oil is a key to mankind understanding how to survive into the future. ( Read further )

Get ready for oil supplies to dwindle, experts warn
(2006Sep23) Aleklett, a Swedish professor of physics, sees inescapable similarities between the steady depletion of the world's most coveted energy source and the foraging habits of berry afficionados. "The goodies, the big ones, have been picked. It's true all over the world. Now we have to stick to the small ones. That means it's harder to fill the basket." ( Read further )

A promo for Asleep in America is available for veiwing on the web.
2006Sep18) The project “Asleep in America ” is a documentary that explores the topic of Peak Oil. Experts agree that Global Peak production will surely happen. They disagree only on when it will happen. Oil industry analysts predict the Global Peak could occur around 2020. Critics disagree and provide evidence suggesting the Peak will occur as early as 2010. Either way, the Peak is inevitable. (see promo )

Peak Oil under attack
During the week leading petroleum producers, including Saudi Aramco and Exxon Mobile, have been aggressively arguing that we don’t need to worry about Peak Oil. A very good summary is given in People’s Daily Online, Beijing, China ( read article ). The attack from Saudi Aramco came at an OPEC conference in Vienna ( read article ) and from Exxon Mobil at a conference in Austrailia ( ). An interesting notation is that Wall Street Journal raised the question if it was a planed attack.(NEW! read article )

Making Sweden an OIL-FREE Society
“The oil might declining. We have someone hear in Uppsala named Aleklett that claims this.” The Prime Minister of Sweden used these words when he explained why he had appointed The Commission on Oil Independence. ASPO is also mentioned in the final document.
Summary from the commission: In this document, the Swedish Commission on Oil Independence propose a number of far-reaching, concrete measures that can end our dependence on oil by the year 2020 and tangibly reduce our use of oil products. ( Go to side for download. )

Oil production limits mean opportunities, conservation
Kjell Aleklett, president of ASPO: In the face of looming oil production shortfalls, all individuals as well as nations as a whole will have to use less oil. And now is the time to begin developing programs accommodating the need for less oil. The coming shortage could provide excellent opportunities for those able to identify them and act strategically. ( Read further in Oil&Gas Journal )

Jack 2 - new oil field in the Gulf
Chevron Announces Record Setting Well Test at Jack
Vast Oil Pool Tapped in Gulf of Mexico - New York Times
New oil field deep in the Gulf a potential giant
Oil find unlikely to bring back cheap gasoline

Driven by Oil - BBC
Oil has meant mastery throughout the 20th Century. It is the world's biggest and most pervasive business, and 'the' strategic commodity on the world stage. Tom Mangold explores the biggest debate facing the oil industry today - Peak Oil. ( Listen to BBC )

Peak Oil Forecasters Win Converts on Wall Street
Blomberg News
The Sun
Herald Tribune

CERA's report is over-optimistic
Review of  “Expansion Set to Continue – Global Liquids Capacity to 2015”.
It is obvious that ASPO is a problem for CERA, or maybe a business opportunity as Daniel Yergin in the overview of the report announce a forthcoming report, “Myths and Legends Concerning Peak Oil”. In the report is the first of four key conclusions; The much discussed “peak oil” is not imminent nor is the start of the “Undulating plateau”. ( Read further )

A Tank of Gas, A World of Trouble
Published July 29, 2006, Chicago Tribune.
What does it take to quench America’s mighty thirst for gasoline? Pulitzer-winning correspondent Paul Salopek traced gas pumped at a suburban Chicago station to the fuel’s sources around the globe. In doing so, he reveals how our oil addiction binds us to some of the most hostile corners of the planet—and to a petroleum economy edging toward crisis, ( read further ). It's hard to print the story as you have to copy the text into a new document, ( copy for printing ).
Chicago Tribune and Paul Salopek have also made a great documentary, " Oil: A Travelogue of Addiction ". Go to this page, documentary , and click "Watch documentary". You must see it!

Dr Ali Samsam Bakhtiari addresses the Australian Senate Committee

Dr Bakhtiari has been as a senior advisor for the National Iranian Oil Company in Tehran. He recently spoke to the Australian senate inquiry into Australia’s future oil supply and alternative transport fuels. Read the Senat transcript from July 11 2006 .

A World Addicted to Oil; it's time to sober up!
Presentation given by Kjell Aleklett, President of ASPO, at the Fifth International Conference of the Association for the Study of Peak Oil and Gas (ASPO-5), Pisa, Italy, July 18-19 2006.
See presentation
Read referee by Rob Bracken

Our only hope lies in forging a new energy world order
Michael Meacher, UK Environment Minister from 1997 to 2003, writes in the Telegraph: "Alternatives like biofuels, ethanol or biomass can play a marginal supportive role but nowhere near on the scale required. When the oil runs out the economic and social dislocation will be unprecedented." ( Read Further )

Commodity Investment World Asia 2006, Hong Kong, 13-14 June
The conference Commodity Investment World Asia 2006 in Hong Kong from13 to 14 June was opened by Kjell Aleklett, president of ASPO.   Read the abstract and see the presentation .

Canada’s oil sands will not prevent Peak Oil
Uppsala Hydrocarbon Depletion Study Group has made a study of a crash program scenario for the Canadian Oil Sand Industry. Even in a very optimistic scenario Canada’s oil sands will not prevent Peak Oil. If a crash program were immediately implemented it may only barely offset the combined declining conventional crude oil production in Canada and the North Sea. ( Read Further )

Disgruntled Groups Threaten More Kidnappings in Nigeria's Oil-Rich Delta
Youths in Southern Bayelsa state of Nigeria who freed eight foreign oil workers they held for three days on Sunday, say they may strike again if the understanding reached with the oil company is not implemented. ( Read Further )

Green building goes big
Developers are starting to incorporate environmentally sound building techniques in their multi-home projects. ( Read Further )

Oil: black gold
A new benchmark (besides West Texas Intermediate and Brent) is being developed for the world: the first Middle Eastern sour crude futures contract. ..... In respect of proven reserves, Peak oil is not far away, but numbers vary. ( Read Further )

NYMEX crude futures price tops $72/bbl
Energy futures prices continued to climb May 30 as the New York market reopened after the long Memorial Day weekend. ( Read Further )

BBC Two May 30: If... The Oil Runs Out
Blending drama and documentary, the IF series returns with a film investigating a scenario many experts fear will come true. ( Read further )( Read thoughts about the program )

Discussions about "Twilight in the Desert” in the US and the Middle East
On the same day the book by Matt Simmons is discussed in the St. Louis Post, USA and in the AME Info – United Arab Emirates. The article in St. Louis Post is based on an interview with Matt Simmons and the final words are: “Regardless of whether we're in the peak oil period or not, we ought to act the same way." ( Read article ). In the AME Info we find the same “tone”:  “Denying the idea that Middle East oilfields are getting old and might soon go into decline has become an article of faith in local oil circles. But re-reading the controversial main text of the peak-oil theorists should perhaps be required by regional economic planners.” ( Read article ) Conclusion is that Peak Oil is discussed everywhere and if you make an “Advanced Seach" on Google with the Exact phrase “Peak Oil” you get around 7.000.000 hitts and on top is ASPO, www.peakoil.net.

ASPO - Portugal
We welcome ASPO-Portugal to the family ( visit the web )

Venezuela Moves to Nationalize its Oil Industry
Latin America's shift from the Western sphere of influence and toward an independent path is a major current of the recent years. Venezuela, the world's fifth largest oil producer, has spearheaded this change by exploiting soaring global oil prices in order to pursue a "Bolivarian" economic model detached from the Washington Consensus. ( read more )
Interview with ASPO in Stuttgarter Zeitung  
(The article is in German, ( read ), translated to English ( read )

The Government of Sweden Accept Peal Oil
Speech at the Conference " Beyond Peak Oil ", Washington DC, May 9th 2006
Mona Sahlin, Minister for Sustainable Development  ( read speech )
The Commission on Oil Independence ( read )

Why You Should Worry About Big Oil?
Beyond the fat profits, the giants are surprisingly vulnerable worldwide. That's bad news for business -- and consumers. Read in Business Week ( read about Big Oil )

Experts Ponder Peak of Global Oil Production
NPR (National Public Radio) is an internationally acclaimed producer and on this program Matthew Simmons and Daniel Yergin are discussing peak oil (read and listen )

Report from the 7th International Oil Summit in Paris April 7, 2006
An invitation to participate in the CNBC TV show “Global Players” brought me to Paris. They planned to record the show in connection to the 7th International Oil Summit , http://www.globalplayers.tv/ . A report from the summit is given. Kjell Aleklett ( read report )

ASPO will discuss oil with OPEC, IEA and Shell
The next edition of "Global Players with Sabine Christiansen" will take place at the Palais le Congress, Paris. The topic of the show is the security of oil supply in both the near- and long-term.  Read more on Global Players . See the full show

We Were Warned – Tomorrow’s Oil Crisis
It is great that CNN pay attention to Peak Oil, but Peak Oil is reality and not fiction. We don’t need to wrap Peak Oil in hurricanes, terrorism, and statements from President Bush. If we start to act now we can handle some of the problems. We had a mini peak in the production in the seventies and eighties and we can learn from then what to do now.  CNN should make a real documentary about Peak Oil.

ASPO conference in Italy 18-19 July 2006

Information on conference webpage

US Army Corps of Engineers and Peak Oil
In a report from US Army Corps of Engineers we can read the following statement:
“Peak oil is at hand with low availability growth for the next 5 to 10 years. Once worldwide petroleum production peaks, geopolitics and market economics will result in even more significant price increases and security risks. To guess where this is all going to take us is would be too speculative. Oil wars are certainly not out of the question.” ( Read report )

Congressman Roscoe Bartlett
Copy of Congressman Roscoe Bartlett's February 8 Special Order speech about peak oil., read

Sweden is the first country in the world to address Peak Oil
Prime Minister Göran Persson: “Oil might declining? We have someone in Uppsala named Aleklett that claims that.” The words of ASPO have finally reached the corridors of power. Articles in The New York Times , The Observer , Huston Chronicle , The Seattle Times .( The Oil Commission-in Swedish )
Reuters: Kuwait oil reserves only half official estimate-PIW
Read comments

Peak Oil Forum in World Watch
The first number of World Watch 2006 has five articles about Peak Oil.
Oil: A Bumpy Road Ahead - Kjell Aleklett, Association for the Study of Peak Oil & Gas is one of the articles. ( read more )

News from 2005

Testimony on Peak Oil by President of ASPO
The House of Representatives energy subcommittee met Wednesday morning, December 7, 2005, to learn more about the so-called peak oil movement, Understanding the Peak Oil Theory. Testimonies was given by President of ASPO Kjell Aleklett as well as Congressmen Bartlett and Udell, Senior Energy Program Advisor Hirsch and Senior Consultant and Director Esser. (Read more )

ASPO data used by former US secretary of defense
In a statement by James R. Schlesinger, the 12th Secretary of Defense of USA, before the committee on foreign relations, was ASPO data uses when future production of oil was discussed. (Read more )

Kuwait's biggest field starts to run out of oil
Kuwait Times: It was an incredible revelation last week that the second largest oil field in the world is exhausted and past its peak output. Yet that is what the Kuwait Oil Company revealed about its Burgan field. The peak output of the Burgan oil field will now be around 1.7 million barrels per day, and not the two million barrels per day forecast for the rest of the field's 30 to 40 years of life. (Read more )

Launch of ASPO Australia
Visiting Swedish physicist Professor Kjell Aleklett, president of ASPO , will officially launch the Association for the Study of Peak Oil and Gas Australia on Monday 21st November at a press conference starting 2.00pm, in the RAC Media Room 832 Wellington Street Perth. (Press release , media release about Peak Oil and WA )

Peak Oil
Report by Peak Oil Netherlands
Peak Oil Netherlands Foundation has released a study. It went together with a big article in one of the Dutch foremost Newspapers (financieele dagblad) and an item on a Dutch financial television show. (Read report )

ASPO Newsletter for November
Read November newsletter

Sweden first to break dependence on oil! New programme presented
The Swedish prime minister announced on Tuesday that the government would appoint a commission that will try to make Sweden independent of oil by 2020. Ministers are discussing Peak Oil and ASPO now gets letters of congratulations for turning Sweden into a new direction. (Article by minister from Oct 1 )

The Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences makes statement  on the oil situation
The newly-formed Energy Committee at the Academy has issued a statement on the dwindling oil resources. It urges for better preparedness and stresses the responsibility of more technically advanced countries.(Read statement )

TIME, October 2005 - Peak oil related articles

How to Kick the Oil Habit (The Future of Energy )
How to Save $$$ Now (The Future of Energy )
It's the End of Oil / Oil Is Here to Stay (The Future of Energy )
How Green Can We Get? (The Future of Energy )
7 Cool New Ideas (The Future of Energy )

International Energy Agency Confronts "Peak Oil"
Three years ago when the first ever “Peak Oil” conference was organized in Uppsala Sweden by ASPO, very few know about Peak Oil. Today, if you make an advance search on Google with the exact phrase “Peak Oil” you will get around 2.000.000 hits. IEA says: “’Peak oil’ is now part of the general public’s vocabulary”. The new book “Resources to Reserves” is a reply from IEA on the pressure from the Peak Oil movement.  Go to article
On Saturday September 14, 2005, the leading Swedish newspaper Dagens Nyheter had an article by Cristian Azar, professor at Chalmers University of Technology, with the title “The pessimists are wrong about the oil ”. In the article professor Kjell Aleklett, president of ASPO, was named as one of the leading pessimists. The tone in the article was that the “pessimists” with their action might make the politicians worried and pushes decisions in a less environmental direction. The newspaper did not accept a reply of this article by professor Aleklett. Obvious they don’t believe in Peak Oil. The article by professor Azar (in Swedish) can be found in Dagens Nyheter and the not accepted reply on www.peakoil.net (in Swedish) .

Katrina and the Coming World Oil Crunch
The Nation, posted online on September 6, 2005
Michael T. Klare is the defense correspondent of The Nation and a professor of peace and world security studies at Hampshire College.. Go to article .

The Last Word in Newsweek:
Adnan Shihab-Eldin, acting secretary-general, 'There Should Not Be Panic', go to article

Peak Oil News In Swedish
Artikel i Vasabladet, Finland;”Snart hinner vi inte pumpa upp all den olja som behövs”
Sveriges Radio-Ekot, Experter oense om framtidens oljepris

IEA chief warns of worldwide energy crisis
The head of the West's energy watchdog said in an interview on Saturday that Hurricane Katrina could spark a worldwide energy crisis if damage to U.S. refineries led to a big increase in U.S. purchases of European petrol (read)

Can we trust Dr Luttwak, adviser to the U.S. government, when he tells us “The truth about global oil supply”?
Kjell Aleklett, President of ASPO, has made an analysis of an article by Dr Luttwak, an internationally recognized authority, consultant to the Office of the Secretary of Defense, the National Security Council, and the U.S. Department of State and member of the National Security Study Group of the U.S. Matt Simmons has also made some comments. Go to the analysis .

Oil Dependence Creates Security and Economic Risks
Hurricane Katrina might open the eyes of an oil blind global population. This article from June 2005 is very relevant today. Read article .

The summer of forums
The summer of 2005 will be the summer of forums. Since Roman times a forum has been a place where people come together, a place where opinions are discussed and decisions made. This summer I was invited to participate in two forums; Future Global Politics and How on Earth Can We Live Together. The first one was at the old university town Salamanca, Spain, and the second at Tällberg, Sweden. We discussed the future of the glob. Read more

Around the world national ASPO Associations are formed or is in the process to be formed. The association should be formed according to the rules in the country where they are formed.  Examples are ASPO-Ireland , ASPO-Italy , ASPO-USA . Many others are in the process to organize the national association. In Sweden we will have the first meeting on October 29th in Uppsala (for information). Next year at the ASPO workshop we plan to organize ASPO-International and members should be the national associations. Kjell Aleklett , President of ASPO.
ASPO sticker in USA
How has made it?
Help us
I have got this as answer
China takes the brakes off motoring
The world’s most populous nation now has motorists—but there’s no petrol at the pump.
By Nury Vittachi, a journalist and author based in China, Go to article

How to Escape the Oil Trap
By Fareed Zakaria, Newsweek
"America remains the 800-pound gorilla of petroleum demand. In 2004, China consumed 6.5 million barrels of oil per day. The United States consumed 20.4 million barrels, and demand is rising." Go to Article

Saudi Oil and the World Economy
Matthew Simmons, an oil industry analyst and CEO of Simmons &amp; Company International, was online Thursday, August 4, at 3 p.m. ET to discuss Saudi oil supplies.
Read transcript on WashingtonPost.com
Matt Simmons on CNN
The Breaking Point
By PETER MAASS, The New York Times, 2005-Aug-21
The United States and China are counting on the Saudis to satisfy our growing thirst for oil. The Saudis say they can supply all our needs. Critics say that that is becoming impossible. They just might turn out to be right. Go to Article
Discussion about oil in the Swedish newspaper Dagens Industri (in Swedish)
Läs diskussionen

Big Oil warns of coming energy crunch
By Carola Hoyos in London
Published: August 4 2005 (You can not read the article in Financia Times)
You can read the article on this site

Saudi Oil and the World Economy
Washington Post, Thursday, August 4, 2005
An online interview hosted by the Wash.Post, with questions from readers globally to Matt Simmons. Its long, but worth reading for anyone fielding similar questions from family or firends. Note that the WaPo vetted which of the questions sent in would be addressed. (Read Washington Post)
Why America Is More Dependent Than Ever on Saudi Arabia
The New York Times
August 2005
The Webmaster has been busy during the summer , conferences in Salamanca, Dubai and Tällberg and some days of vacation, and there have not been any new things added during June and July. I have also read Matt Simmons book Twilight in the Dessert , and I recommend the book strongly. I will start a page with recommended articles from the readers of this web page. Send to Aleklett@tsl.uu.se .

A French government report: "A possible peak in world production 2013."
The report 'The Oil Industry 2004' takes a long look at future production and supply issues. But perhaps what is most interesting about this Economics, Industry & Finance Ministry report, is that it actually mentions a possible production plateau at all. (read more)

Industry Contact Day -Global Oil Reserves-Hopes and Reality
The seminar took place Monday 23 May, 2005, Ångström laboratory, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden. Keynote lectures by Matthew Simmons and Robert Hirsch (read more). The seminar will be awail as streamed in June.

ASPO invited to talk for the oil industry
Marcus Evans organizes the Oil & Gas operations summit 2005 at the Emirates Hotel in Dubai, 31 May – 2 June. (read more)

BBC: Which story do you want to see more coverage of?
Peak oil is the number one "big story" the readers like to have coverge on BBC. (read)

ASPO workshop in Lisbon.
The workshop was a success and presentations, papers, etc will be posted in the beginning of June. Here is some photos from the conference. (Photos)
New Report on Tar Sand
Uppsala Hydrocarbon Depletion Study Group has made a new report on "Canada’s Oil Sands Resources and Its Future Impact on Global Oil Supply". (read report)

Industry Contact Day -Global Oil Reserves-Hopes and Reality
Monday 23 May, 2005, Ångström laboratory, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden
Keynote lectures by Matthew Simmons and Robert Hirsch (Program). The seminar will be awail as streamed in June.

Audio: Looking Beyond Oil for Energy
Host Steve Scher, Weekday, KUOW Radio
An hour long Peak Oil radio program featuring ASPO president Kjell Alekett, Blood and Oil author Michael Klare and American Petroleum Institute chief economist, John Felmy (listen to program).

OPEC, Oil and a Paradox - Maximum Sustainable Capacity
2005-05-08: Thought about future oil production in the Middle East (read)

Legendary oil magnate calls it as he sees it: peak oil is here.
2005-05-04: Legendary Oklahoma energy magnate, T. Boone Pickens: "Let me tell you some facts the way I see it. Global oil production is 84 million barrels a day. I don't believe you can get it any more than 84 million barrels. I don't care what Abdullah, Putin or anybody else says about oil reserves or production. I think they are on decline in the biggest oil fields in the world today and I know what's it like once you turn the corner and start declining, it's a tread mill that you just can't keep up with.". (read)
Peak Oil UK - Entering the Age of Oil Depletion
2005-04-30. A write up from the Edinburgh Peak Oil conference (read)
Just kiss your lifestyle goodbye (Read The Guardian)

The oil supply tsunami alert
K. Aleklett: "Scientists and government authorities that noticed the earthquake that caused the tsunami in Thailand are blamed for not making a tsunami alert. They were afraid that the alert would hurt the tourist industry. I think it is time for energy authorities around the world to make an 'oil supply tsunami alert'."(read more)

Asleep in America - Documentary about Peak Oil and ASPO
A team with over 60 years of combined experience including major Hollywood feature films, television shows, and commercials will stat filming in May (read more)

Runing out of oil? Scientific perspectives on  fossil fuels
This seminar will focus on the "future" of fossil fuels, and jointly organized by the Royal Swedish Academy of  Sciences (KVA) and the Royal Swedish Academy of Engineering Sciences (IVA). Every year KVA awards the Nobel Prizes in Physics and Chemistry. (Program) (Speakers)

"I wish I could simply wave a magic wand and lower gas prices tomorrow"
Bush Urges Action 'Now' On Energy - House Approves Drilling In Arctic Wildlife Refuge. Read in Washington Post .. Read the entire speech . President of ASPO, Kjell Aleklett, will soon make a comment.

The end of oil is closer than you think
Oil production could peak next year, reports John Vidal. Just kiss your lifestyle goodbye
(Read The Guardian)

Comment: Just how much oil does the Middle East really have, and does it matter?
"But serious topics are not often popular ones, which explains why many people, including those in government, may prefer not to know."
From Oil&Gas April4, 2004, (read more)

Days with Financial Times
April 4 2005, Stagnant Russian oil output fuels fears of shortages (read)
April 4 2005, Lex: ChevronTexaco (read)
April 7 2005, Low fuel prices do little to oil Iran's economy or roads (read)
April 7 2005, US warns of need for more Opec production (read)
April 8 2005, IMF warns on risk of ‘permanent oil shock’ (read)

San Francisco Chronicale sees Peak Oil
"Reading between the lines, that means only one thing. Peak oil . We're basically there." (read more)
"Gas stations might have to go out and buy more 'threes' for their signs," (read more)

Blix says war motivated by oil
Former UN chief weapons inspector Hans Blix says oil was one of the reasons for the U.S.-led invasion of Iraq (read)

How much crude oil is there to discover in the future? -
The wolf is coming!

About 134 billion barrels will be found over the next 30 years.(read more)

What Happens Once the Oil Runs Out?
Kenneth S. Deffeyes writes in the New York Times about the plans to drill in the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge. "Even the most successful drilling project at the Arctic refuge would be only a little bit." (read in NYT) More about Kenneth S. Deffeyes (read).

Peak Oil and ASPO in the US House of Representatives
On Monday March 14th there was a one hour long presentation of Peak Oil in the US House of Representatives. It was the House member from Maryland, Mr Bartlett , which gave the presentation (read more).

Official: OPEC Has Reached Output Limit
OPEC has reached its production limit, and trying to stretch output by one million barrels per day isn't likely to lower oil prices, Algeria's minister for energy and mines said. (read)


US DOE has received the warning
In February ASPO received interesting information from Dr. Robert L. Hirsch to be published in our newsletter.  Dr Hirsch and his colleagues have just completed a study for the U.S. DOE on the mitigation of world oil peaking, Hirsch, R.L., Bezdek, R.H, Wendling, R.M.  Peaking of World Oil Production:  Impacts, Mitigation and Risk Management. Read summery of this paper, as reporter by Dr. Hirsch

What will the rest of the world do if Saudi oil runs out early?
Interesting article in Belfast Telegraph (read). On the ASPO workshop in Lisbon (workshop site) will Saudi oil be in focus with speeches by Matt Simmons, Jack Zagar, and other. This statement by Ali al-Naimi, the Saudi oil minister, is very intereting: “ When I state that our reserves are 261 billion barrels I have a very high degree of confidence that that estimate is a good one. “ He is not sure.
The G7 Ministers begin to grasp Peak Oil
When the G7 Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors met in London, on 4-5th February 2005, oil security was evidently at the top of the agenda (read more).

Interview with Kjell Aleklett, president of ASPO, TV4 Sweden
Listen in Swedish , "Oljekällorna sinar snart"
(they ask for “användarnamn” , use TV4ASPO, and "lösenord", use peakoil)

Russia May Stop Exporting Energy Sources by 2010
“If we don’t learn how to increase energy efficiency, but continue to develop the oil and gas sector, we will stop exporting energy sources because they will be absorbed by the domestic market,” (mosnews)

Deutsche Bank gives credit to ASPO
"The end-of-the-fossil-hydrocarbons scenario is not therefore a doom-and-gloom picture painted by pessimistic end-of-the world prophets, but a view of scarcity in the coming years and decades that must be taken seriously. " (Deutsche Bank Research)

When the oil runs out
ASPO in Yemen Times
How secure is Saudi oil?
Though oil prices have retreated from their record highs of October, a terrorist attack on oil installations in Saudi Arabia could send them soaring to new heights, according to Bob Bear, a leading industry analyst. New questions on the vulnerability of the country's vast facilities and how markets would react. (CNNmoney)
Oil is a finite resource
Australian Broadcasting Corporation
Colin Campbell about running out of oil

Sadad al-Husseini: "dangerous over-estimate"
Channel 4 News has been told by a top Saudi oil industry insider that the American government's forecast for future oil supplies are a "dangerous over-estimate". (Read more)
International Energy Agency accepts Peak-Oil

We may conclude that the International Energy Agency has delivered a forecast designed to fulfill the Agency’s political agenda, but between the lines it clearly sets out enough evidence to show that it is indeed no more than a political statement, far removed from what is attainable in the real world. (The Uppsala code )

ASPO in the news on CNN

"A once-fringe group saying we'll run out of oil is gaining attention, even within the oil industry". ( Go to www.cnn.com)

ASPO on the front-page of Wall Street Journal

The storry moves on to the Washington Times: "Signs of the theory (peak-oil) being taken seriously include a recent front page story in the Wall Street Journal (Read storry)and what Washington Times thinks about this (WashTimes)

Peak Oil in 2008

Colin Campbell and the Uppsala Hydrocarbon Depletion Study Group has now made the 2004 upgrade of the peak oil model. The peak is moved from 2010 to 2008 (read more).

Future of Natural Gas Supply, Peak in 30 years
Jean Laherrere, Member of ASPO

This paper contains an enormous amount of data and forecasts of future productions and discoveries of natural gas. You can find data for the world, regions and individual countries (read more ).


The Oil and Gas Journal published on May 17th an article by Mr Sadad al-Husseini, who was until recently an Executive Vice-President of Saudi Aramco. He refers to the doubts raised by ASPO regarding the validity of the 260 Gb (billion barrels) claimed by the country as remaining reserves, admitting that a policy of withholding technical information has given grounds for uncertainty. Read comments by Campbell & Aleklett

Dick Cheney, Peak Oil and the Final Count Down,
by Kjell Aleklet

Vice- President Dick Cheney made a speech at the London Institute of Petroleum Autumn lunch in 1999 when he was Chairman of Halliburton. A key passage from his speech was: “That means by 2010 we will need on the order of an additional fifty million barrels a day.” It suggested that he at that time was fully aware of the issue of peak oil (read more).

Middle East Oil - Reality and Illusion
by C.J.Campbell

Throughout history, people have had difficulty in distinguishing reality from illusion. Reality is what happens, whereas illusion is what we would like to happen. (Read more)

65% of the world's gas supply ... is now in decline .. and you're not even sure [of] the rate at which the decline is accelerating... Gas can decline real fast
Matt Simmons speaks frankly about the global natural gas supply. Interview
The Uppsala Protocol

We have a protocol for the climate, the Kyoto Protocol, and we now need protocol for Peak Oil and the coming depletion of oil around the world.
Simmons hopes he’s wrong

Matt Simmons gave keynote lectures at the first ASPO workshop in Uppsala, Sweden, as well as at the workshop in Berlin. He is a leading energy analyst and believes that Saudi Arabia’s crude oil supply is near peak.Read Petroleum News .

Next Big Thing: Peak oil

Bob Williams in Oil & Gas Journal April 19, 2004 ( Read more )

'Too little' oil for global warming

October 03, New Scientist : "Oil and gas will run out too fast for doomsday global warming scenarios to materialise, according to a controversial analysis presented this week at the University of Uppsala in Sweden ."
(CNN Oct 2, 2003 , NewScientist Oct 2, 2003)


ExxonMobil has made a new report on energy trends. Once again they claim that the decline of oil and gas will be enormous in the coming years. (Read report)

Wood Mackenzie
“We believe that exploration cannot continue to be the main growth engine for the majors as it has in the past.”
(Read more )
ExxonMobil and depletion

The president of ExxonMobil Exploration Company, Jon Thompson:
" In other words, by 2015, we will need to find, develop and produce a volume of new oil and gas that is equal to eight out of every 10 barrels being produced today".
President of ASPO, Kjell Aleklett, makes a comment: (XXXXX )

Oil and Gas - a Short Period of History for Great Britain
This is now confirmed by the UK Department of Trade and Industry that by the year 2020 it is more or less all over. ( Read )